OfftheNumber
Sat Oct 24 · 7 PMESPN+Centennial Bank Stadium

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Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

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Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Georgia St Arkansas St
Kennesaw St
W 31-17 away
+14 · +7.5 Covered
W 17-14 home
+3 · -6.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Georgia St won by 14.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Arkansas St won by 3.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Georgia St Arkansas St
App St
L 20-41 home
-21 · +2.5 Didn't cover
W 30-29 away
+1 · -1.5 Didn't cover
Georgia Southern
L 24-41 away
-17 · +6.5 Didn't cover
W 34-24 home
+10 · -1.5 Covered
South Alabama
L 31-38 home
-7 · +5.5 Didn't cover
W 15-14 away
+1 · +8.5 Covered
Troy
L 19-31 away
-12 · +10.5 Didn't cover
W 23-10 away
+13 · +7.5 Covered

Against 4 common opponents: Georgia St lost by 14.2 on average, 0-4 against the spread. Arkansas St won by 6.2 on average, 3-1 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Georgia State WWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-0 100%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
Last 55-0 100%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Arkansas State LWLLWL

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 16, 2024ARST 27, GAST 20GAST -2.5ARST covered58.5Under
Nov 20, 2021ARST 20, GAST 28GAST -16ARST covered66Under
Oct 15, 2020GAST 52, ARST 5972.5Over
Oct 5, 2019ARST 38, GAST 52ARST -6.5GAST covered94.5Under

Georgia State 1-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2024 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

GASTARST
4-1Record2-4
5-0Against the spread2-4
3-2Over-under3-3
+17.7Avg cover margin-1.9
39.4Points per game28.2
19.0Points allowed28.8
6.66Yards per play6.19
468.6Yards per game376.3
5.30Rush yards per carry4.40
66.9Completion %68.8
50.7Third down %50.8
+0Turnover margin+3
2Sacks allowed9
60.6Penalty yards per game44.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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