OfftheNumber
at
5-1, 3-3 ATS
Sat Oct 17 · 7:30 PMTDECU StadiumFOX

The number

Spread
OKST +4.5 -110
HOU -4.5 -110
First seen Fri 1:50 PM HOU -4.5
Fair, no vig: OKST -100 / HOU -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: OKST +5 -115 at Bally Bet; HOU -4.5 -108 at BetMGM
Total
Over 62.5 -110
Under 62.5 -110
First seen Fri 1:50 PM 62.5
Fair, no vig: O -100 / U -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 61.5 -120 at theScore Bet; U 62.5 -108 at Caesars
Moneyline
OKST +160
HOU -200
First seen Fri 1:50 PM HOU -200
Fair, no vig: OKST +173 / HOU -173 (hold 5.1%)
Best: OKST +165 at Bally Bet; HOU -184 at FanDuel

Updated Fri 2 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookOKSTHOUOverUnderOKST MLHOU ML
DraftKings+4.5-110-4.5-110o62.5-110u62.5-110+160-192
FanDuel+4.5-110-4.5-110o62.5-110u62.5-110+152-184
BetMGM+4.5-110-4.5-108o62.5-108u62.5-110+160-190
Caesars+4.5-108-4.5-112o62.5-112u62.5-108+159-190
theScore Bet+4.5-110-4.5-110o61.5-120u61.5+100+155-185
BetRivers+4.5-110-4.5-114o62.5-110u62.5-113+165-210
Fanatics+4.5-110-4.5-110o62.5-110u62.5-110+165-200
Hard Rock Bet+4.5-110-4.5-110o62.5-110u62.5-110+165-200
Bally Bet+5-115-5-108o62.5-109u62.5-112+165-205
betPARX+5-115-5-108o62.5-109u62.5-112+165-205

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

-2-3-4-5-6-7-8key 3key 7First seen Fri 1:50 PMNow
HOU line, first number we saw to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
61626364First seen Fri 1:50 PMNow
Total, first number we saw to now.

Betting form, 2026

Oklahoma State LWWWW

ATSTotals
All games4-1 80%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-0 100%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Houston LWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As favorite1-3 25%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Oklahoma St Houston
UCF
W 42-28 home
+14 · -10.5 Covered
W 27-17 home
+10 · -10.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Oklahoma St won by 14.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Houston won by 10.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Oklahoma St Houston
Arizona
L 13-41 away
-28 · +23.5 Didn't cover
W 31-28 home
+3 · +2.5 Covered
Baylor
L 27-45 home
-18 · +21.5 Covered
W 31-24 away
+7 · +2.5 Covered
Texas Tech
L 0-42 away
-42 · +35.5 Didn't cover
L 11-35 home
-24 · +11.5 Didn't cover
UCF
L 14-17 away
-3 · +12.5 Covered
W 30-27 away
+3 · +1.5 Covered

Against 4 common opponents: Oklahoma St lost by 22.8 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Houston lost by 2.8 on average, 3-1 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 11, 2025HOU 39, OKST 17HOU -14.5HOU covered47.5Over
Nov 18, 2023OKST 43, HOU 30OKST -6.5OKST covered57Over

Oklahoma State 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

OKSTHOU
4-1Record5-1
4-1Against the spread3-3
3-2Over-under4-2
+5.9Avg cover margin+5.8
38.2Points per game40.0
21.4Points allowed19.2
6.97Yards per play6.74
521.4Yards per game481.8
5.10Rush yards per carry5.50
68.6Completion %67.1
33.9Third down %62.7
+1Turnover margin+8
4Sacks allowed5
48.4Penalty yards per game58.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Oklahoma St1 Houston
Houston -4.51
Rico Bosco*Line -4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Oklahoma St -5.51
Dave Portnoy*Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Total
2 Over0 Under
Over 62.52
Big Cat*Line 62.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original postDave Portnoy*Line 62.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Where to watch

OnFOX
Streams onAntennaFOX OneDIRECTVYouTube TV+2

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.