Spread
0 Florida1 Texas
Texas -10.51
Big Cat 1u*Line -10.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks
The number
Spread
FLA +11.5 -110
TEX -11.5 -110
Open TEX -9.5 moved 2
Fair, no vig: FLA -100 / TEX -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: FLA +12 -113 at Bally Bet; TEX -11 -110 at BetMGM
Total
Over 51.5 -109
Under 51.5 -112
Fair, no vig: O +101 / U -101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 51.5 -105 at FanDuel; U 51.5 -110 at DraftKings
Moneyline
FLA +340
TEX -450
Fair, no vig: FLA +360 / TEX -360 (hold 4.5%)
Best: FLA +350 at Bally Bet; TEX -420 at FanDuel
Updated Fri 3 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (10)
| Book | FLA | TEX | Over | Under | FLA ML | TEX ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +11.5-112 | -11.5-108 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-110 | +340 | -440 |
| FanDuel | +11.5-115 | -11.5-105 | o51.5-105 | u51.5-115 | +320 | -420 |
| BetMGM | +11-108 | -11-110 | o51.5-105 | u51.5-112 | +333 | -450 |
| Caesars | +11.5-113 | -11.5-107 | o51.5-108 | u51.5-112 | +330 | -420 |
| theScore Bet | +11.5-110 | -11.5-110 | o51.5-105 | u51.5-115 | +340 | -450 |
| BetRivers | +11.5-109 | -11.5-114 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-113 | +340 | -480 |
| Fanatics | +11.5-110 | -11.5-110 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-110 | +340 | -450 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +11.5-110 | -11.5-110 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-110 | +350 | -475 |
| Bally Bet | +12-113 | -12-108 | o51.5-109 | u51.5-112 | +350 | -480 |
| betPARX | +12-113 | -12-108 | o51.5-109 | u51.5-112 | +350 | -480 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: 10 (TEX -9.5 to TEX -11.5). In football, moving through 3 or 7 changes a bet's value far more than other half points.
Injury report
From the SEC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8:10 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 90 minutes before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report
FloridaOut
- Duke Clark RB
Questionable
- Aaron Philo QB
- Bailey Stockton WR
- Vernell Brown III WR
TexasOut
- Jaydon Chatman OL
- Kaliq Lockett WR
Probable
Jordan Coleman (OL), Justus Terry (DL)
No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 8:10 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
DraftKings says 52% of bets and 64% of the money are on Florida +11.5.
Per DraftKings Sportsbook, as of Fri 3:10 PM ET. Source. Hand-entered, not live.
Tracker bettors
Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours
Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private. More sportsbook splits: DK betting splits.
What the public cappers like
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Betting form, 2026
Florida WLWWLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 4-2 67% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | none | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Texas WLLLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 20%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-4 20%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | TEX 21, FLA 29 | TEX -4.5 | FLA covered | 42.5 | Over |
| Nov 9, 2024 | FLA 17, TEX 49 | TEX -24.5 | TEX covered | 48.5 | Over |
Florida 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
| FLA | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread | 1-4 |
| 4-2 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| -4.1 | Avg cover margin | +0.5 |
| 41.7 | Points per game | 31.4 |
| 29.0 | Points allowed | 16.0 |
| 6.66 | Yards per play | 5.25 |
| 473.8 | Yards per game | 379.2 |
| 5.00 | Rush yards per carry | 3.70 |
| 72.1 | Completion % | 63.9 |
| 45.2 | Third down % | 44.6 |
| +4 | Turnover margin | +1 |
| 8 | Sacks allowed | 12 |
| 77.8 | Penalty yards per game | 62.2 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.