Source: DraftKings.
USA 56, ARST 49. USA covered by 10, over by 44.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
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No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  South Alabama |  Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|
 Louisiana | L 22-31 home -9 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 30-34 home -4 · -2.5 Didn't cover |
 Southern Miss | W 42-35 home +7 · +2.5 Covered | L 21-27 home -6 · +6.5 Covered |
 Texas St | L 26-49 away -23 · +9.5 Didn't cover | W 31-30 home +1 · +14.5 Covered |
 Troy | L 24-31 away -7 · -2.5 Didn't cover | W 23-10 away +13 · +7.5 Covered |
 UL Monroe | W 26-14 away +12 · -4.5 Covered | L 16-28 away -12 · +1.5 Didn't cover |
Against 5 common opponents: South Alabama lost by 4.0 on average, 2-3 against the spread. Arkansas St lost by 1.6 on average, 3-2 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
South Alabama WWLLWW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 67%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Road | 2-1 67%Small sample | 3-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Arkansas State LWLLWL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 33%Small sample | 3-3 50% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-2 33%Small sample | 2-1 67% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | USA 56, ARST 49 | ARST -3 | USA covered | 60.5 | Over |
| Oct 14, 2025 | ARST 15, USA 14 | USA -8.5 | ARST covered | 57.5 | Under |
| Oct 5, 2024 | USA 16, ARST 18 | USA -2.5 | ARST covered | 62.5 | Under |
| Nov 11, 2023 | ARST 14, USA 21 | USA -14 | ARST covered | 54.5 | Under |
| Oct 29, 2022 | USA 31, ARST 3 | USA -9 | USA covered | 52 | Under |
| Oct 30, 2021 | ARST 13, USA 31 | USA -9.5 | USA covered | 65.5 | Under |
| Nov 28, 2020 | USA 38, ARST 31 | ARST -7.5 | USA covered | 63.5 | Over |
| Nov 29, 2019 | ARST 30, USA 34 | ARST -10.5 | USA covered | 53.5 | Over |
South Alabama 5-3 ATS in these meetings. 8 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 USA | ARST  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 2-4 |
| 4-2 | Against the spread | 2-4 |
| 5-1 | Over-under | 3-3 |
| +4.3 | Avg cover margin | -1.9 |
| 38.8 | Points per game | 28.2 |
| 34.5 | Points allowed | 28.8 |
| 6.05 | Yards per play | 6.19 |
| 437.8 | Yards per game | 376.3 |
| 4.80 | Rush yards per carry | 4.40 |
| 63.6 | Completion % | 68.8 |
| 44.2 | Third down % | 50.8 |
| +9 | Turnover margin | +3 |
| 7 | Sacks allowed | 9 |
| 58.2 | Penalty yards per game | 44.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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